generation mechanism
Multi-Domain Causal Discovery in Bijective Causal Models
Jalaldoust, Kasra, Salehkaleybar, Saber, Kiyavash, Negar
We consider the problem of causal discovery (a.k.a., causal structure learning) in a multi-domain setting. We assume that the causal functions are invariant across the domains, while the distribution of the exogenous noise may vary. Under causal sufficiency (i.e., no confounders exist), we show that the causal diagram can be discovered under less restrictive functional assumptions compared to previous work. What enables causal discovery in this setting is bijective generation mechanisms (BGM), which ensures that the functional relation between the exogenous noise $E$ and the endogenous variable $Y$ is bijective and differentiable in both directions at every level of the cause variable $X = x$. BGM generalizes a variety of models including additive noise model, LiNGAM, post-nonlinear model, and location-scale noise model. Further, we derive a statistical test to find the parents set of the target variable. Experiments on various synthetic and real-world datasets validate our theoretical findings.
Targeted Cause Discovery with Data-Driven Learning
Kim, Jang-Hyun, Gibbs, Claudia Skok, Yun, Sangdoo, Song, Hyun Oh, Cho, Kyunghyun
We propose a novel machine learning approach for inferring causal variables of a target variable from observations. Our goal is to identify both direct and indirect causes within a system, thereby efficiently regulating the target variable when the difficulty and cost of intervening on each causal variable vary. Our method employs a neural network trained to identify causality through supervised learning on simulated data. By implementing a local-inference strategy, we achieve linear complexity with respect to the number of variables, efficiently scaling up to thousands of variables. Empirical results demonstrate the effectiveness of our method in identifying causal relationships within large-scale gene regulatory networks, outperforming existing causal discovery methods that primarily focus on direct causality.
Counterfactual (Non-)identifiability of Learned Structural Causal Models
Nasr-Esfahany, Arash, Kiciman, Emre
Recent advances in probabilistic generative modeling have motivated learning Structural Causal Models (SCM) from observational datasets using deep conditional generative models, also known as Deep Structural Causal Model (DSCM). If successful, DSCMs can be utilized for causal estimation tasks, e.g., for answering counterfactual queries (Pawlowski et al. (2020)). In this work, we warn practitioners about non-identifiability of counterfactual inference from observational data, even in the absence of unobserved confounding and assuming known causal structure. We prove counterfactual identifiability of monotonic generation mechanisms with single dimensional exogenous variables. For general generation mechanisms with multi-dimensional exogenous variables, we provide an impossibility result for counterfactual identifiability, motivating the need for parametric assumptions. As a practical approach, we propose a method for estimating worst-case errors of learned DSCMs' counterfactual predictions. The size of this error can be an essential metric for deciding whether or not DSCMs are a viable approach for counterfactual inference in a specific problem setting. In evaluation, our method confirms negligible counterfactual errors for an identifiable Structural Causal Model (SCM) from prior work, and also provides informative error bounds on counterfactual errors for a non-identifiable synthetic SCM.
Prequential MDL for Causal Structure Learning with Neural Networks
Bornschein, Jorg, Chiappa, Silvia, Malek, Alan, Ke, Rosemary Nan
Learning the structure of Bayesian networks and causal relationships from observations is a common goal in several areas of science and technology. We show that the prequential minimum description length principle (MDL) can be used to derive a practical scoring function for Bayesian networks when flexible and overparametrized neural networks are used to model the conditional probability distributions between observed variables. MDL represents an embodiment of Occam's Razor and we obtain plausible and parsimonious graph structures without relying on sparsity inducing priors or other regularizers which must be tuned. Empirically we demonstrate competitive results on synthetic and real-world data. The score often recovers the correct structure even in the presence of strongly nonlinear relationships between variables; a scenario were prior approaches struggle and usually fail. Furthermore we discuss how the the prequential score relates to recent work that infers causal structure from the speed of adaptation when the observations come from a source undergoing distributional shift.
An Efficient Explorative Sampling Considering the Generative Boundaries of Deep Generative Neural Networks
Jeon, Giyoung, Jeong, Haedong, Choi, Jaesik
Deep generative neural networks (DGNNs) have achieved realistic and high-quality data generation. In particular, the adversarial training scheme has been applied to many DGNNs and has exhibited powerful performance. Despite of recent advances in generative networks, identifying the image generation mechanism still remains challenging. In this paper, we present an explorative sampling algorithm to analyze generation mechanism of DGNNs. Our method efficiently obtains samples with identical attributes from a query image in a perspective of the trained model. We define generative boundaries which determine the activation of nodes in the internal layer and probe inside the model with this information. To handle a large number of boundaries, we obtain the essential set of boundaries using optimization. By gathering samples within the region surrounded by generative boundaries, we can empirically reveal the characteristics of the internal layers of DGNNs. We also demonstrate that our algorithm can find more homogeneous, the model specific samples compared to the variations of {\epsilon}-based sampling method.
Title Generation for Web Tables
Hancock, Braden, Lee, Hongrae, Yu, Cong
Descriptive titles provide crucial context for interpreting tables that are extracted from web pages and are a key component of table-based web applications. Prior approaches have attempted to produce titles by selecting existing text snippets associated with the table. These approaches, however, are limited by their dependence on suitable titles existing a priori. In our user study, we observe that the relevant information for the title tends to be scattered across the page, and often---more than 80% of time---does not appear verbatim anywhere in the page. We propose instead the application of a sequence-to-sequence neural network model as a more generalizable means of generating high-quality titles. This is accomplished by extracting many text snippets that have potentially relevant information to the table, encoding them into an input sequence, and using both copy and generation mechanisms in the decoder to balance relevance and readability of the generated title. We validate this approach with human evaluation on sample web tables and report that while sequence models with only a copy mechanism or only a generation mechanism are easily outperformed by simple selection-based baselines, the model with both capabilities outperforms them all, approaching the quality of crowdsourced titles while training on fewer than ten thousand examples. To the best of our knowledge, the proposed technique is the first to consider text-generation methods for table titles, and establishes a new state of the art.